Bulgaria Ski discussion board

Fingers crossed its heading BGs way

jamesg Author: posts : 13   (Beginner)Date : 11-16-07 00:19

Fingers crossed its heading BGs way

Big news from St. Anton, Austria.... Biggest snowfall in 24 hours for 35 years. 2 meters and still snowing!!
please please please
Mark IOW Author:Mark IOW posts : 547   (Expert)Date : 11-16-07 13:08

re: Fingers crossed its heading BGs way

Hmmm... lots of 'something' to come this weekend but it looks like that temperatures, certainly for the rest of the month, are gonna remain above freezing :-(

not good for snow :-(
Smag Author:perelik steve posts : 0   (Beginner)Date : 11-16-07 13:14

re: Fingers crossed its heading BGs way

how do you know about temp for rest of month?
going to be below freezing next week as far as i can see.anyway november is always freeze thaw,thats why resorts dont open till half way through december.
Mark IOW Author:Mark IOW posts : 547   (Expert)Date : 11-16-07 13:22

re: Fingers crossed its heading BGs way

colder this weekend but data is showing that its gonna 'warm' up a bit generally as pressure will increase giving settled conditions
arron Author: posts : 13   (Beginner)Date : 11-16-07 14:53

re: Fingers crossed its heading BGs way

Where's the data coming from Mark Question
Mark IOW Author:Mark IOW posts : 547   (Expert)Date : 11-16-07 15:09
arron Author: posts : 13   (Beginner)Date : 11-16-07 15:23
Mark IOW Author:Mark IOW posts : 547   (Expert)Date : 11-16-07 15:32

re: Fingers crossed its heading BGs way

yes and various others including http://85.214.49.20/topkarten/fsenseur.html
Benson Author: posts : 13   (Beginner)Date : 11-16-07 15:56

re: Fingers crossed its heading BGs way

as Mark said--and other sites if you know what to look at. Basically the mid month warm up happened as I indicated back on the 6th, and this weekend into next week again shaping up as I indicated on the 14th. But as Mark, Hornster and others will agree, beyond 5-7 days it is much less likely that accuracy will be high....no matter what anyone says. Once you hit 7/10 days the accuracy is almost 60% (in other words you could take a guess)....and beyond that any forecast is based on historical ...
as Mark said--and other sites if you know what to look at. Basically the mid month warm up happened as I indicated back on the 6th, and this weekend into next week again shaping up as I indicated on the 14th. But as Mark, Hornster and others will agree, beyond 5-7 days it is much less likely that accuracy will be high....no matter what anyone says. Once you hit 7/10 days the accuracy is almost 60% (in other words you could take a guess)....and beyond that any forecast is based on historical data, current climate measures such as sea temps, water flows, jet stream etc.....and the forcast is more a theoretical projection liable to high risk of change.

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Smag Author:perelik steve posts : 0   (Beginner)Date : 11-16-07 16:00

re: Fingers crossed its heading BGs way

what he said Very Happy